2012 >20% & >200% Outrageous Oil Stocks Competitions........

Jan 2012 Competition:

(i) >20% Up: AEX. Unexpectedly good drilling results from Ntorya-1 in Tanzania.
(ii) >20% Down: XTR. Unexpectedly poor drilling result from the Luna prospect in Denmark.


2012 Competition:

(iii) >200% Up: MOIL. Favourable drilling results in 2012. Heavy oil plant in smooth operation in second half of 2012.
(iv) >50% Down: XEL. Possible “Ramco” poor well flow deliverability scenario if extended flow test does not last.

Very Happy New Year to All.......

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Greetings FB and HNY to all.

Jan 2012:

(i) > 20% Up: CEO on good test result from Horizontal
(ii) >20% Down: PMG due to unsupported levitation

2012

(i)> 200% Up: CEO on continued drilling success.
No down choice

Happy New Year to all. The London fireworks were exceptional this year.....

Jan 2012:
1) >20% up, AEX , on Ntorya-1 well results being better than expected
2) <20% down, Blvn

2012
1) >200% up, torn between GKP ( a highly likely takeout in my view) or XEL (surely they will get their act together and see a resurgent share p0rice from current lows.

2)<200% down, RKH, on a resumption of teh Falklands War round two as the Argentinians try their luck.

Regrettably (or perhaps just as well!  ;-) ) I must constrain my picks to avoid certain companies.

My general view of the markets is that the early part of the year is likely to be a continuation of the struggle between bulls and bears, as margin pressures become evident on most trading companies and various retailers (and associated companies) hit the buffers. However, companies with pricing power will continue to do well and I think that overall the markets will end the year ahead, despite the Euro issues and continuing international political unrest. I'd see the FTSE100 at around 6600 at year-end, as the attractions of bonds and cash both wane.

For oil companies, the politcal unrest element could well be quite important. Depending on where it occurs, the oil price could come under pressure or soar. So I wouldn't be so rash as to guess the path of oil prices. However, it seems to me that share prices in the sector are discounting both a significant oil price fall and a continued weak economy - and whilst the Eurozone economy will likely be pretty weak, I think the UK, US and most of the emerging markets will do OK (especially Brazil and India). So I'm actually more optimistic for 2012 than I was for 2011 - and I think we will finally start to see some bottom-fishing done.

Jan 2012:
1) >20% up, BG (LON:BG.)  .....bid rumours?
2) <20% down, Melrose Resources (LON:MRS) .....politics

2012
1) >200% up, Global Petroleum (LON:GBP) ....cheap enough to make that sort of move up and reorganisation of assets, coupled with the activities of others, could push the price up materially
2)<50% down, Borders & Southern (LON:BOR) ....drilling disappointments, compounded by Argie bargie when William arrives (though of course the first bit might be completely wrong, given their upcoming two-well programme!)

On an H1 view, I think SOCO International (LON:SIA) will do very well....but will be outperformed by others over both a month and a year (c. 100% or so won't be enough......).

ee

In reply to flyingbull, post #1

Happy New Year to you FB and everyone else.

For 20% up I shall go for Aminex on the basis of good results from the Ntorya drill. It is about time the company had a change in fortune.

For 20% down I shall go for Heritage Oil with tensions in ME and the continuation of the tax dispute with the Ugandan authorities.

For 200% up I shall go for PanContinental Oil and Gas (ASX:PCL) on the basis of good drilling results from the giant Mbwaa prospect in L8 offshore Kenya and good solid progress in their acreage offshore Namibia.

No down.

Best wishes for 2012 .

Norman

In reply to Norman115, post #5

Further to my post, I would like to add that 75% of my portfolio lies in SOCO and I have held for well over a decade. I am extremely bullish about SIA and I am sure that 2012 is going to be a good year. Much as I would like to have SIA as a year end entry I feel that a 200% gain may be too ambitious. I am expecting a rise in excess of 100% but less than 200%. Who knows? I hope I am wrong. There could be some pleasnt surprises especiallly with TGD.

Norman

January 2012

20% up, AEX (hopefully a commercial oil strike at Ntorya (or gas with high %age of condensates) which would prove up the rest of the onshore, and with that scenario there would be substantial interest. Of course anything sub-commercial would not be welcomed. Fingers crossed.
20% down PCI - monkey with a pin.

Annual 2012

200% up GKP - Bid for at some point?
50% down RKH - as expressed in post 3.

cheers
DL

Jan

Up 20% : HOIL...arbitration rules in favour
Down 20% : AEX...Ntorya dud

2012

Up 200% : RIA(Aus)...farmout + drill success
Down 50% : XEL...poor EWT results

Good luck all...may the Oil Gods be with us :-)

Jan

Up 20%: AEX
Down 20%: PCI

2012

Up 200%: TRP
Down 50%: RKH

Cheers,
Alan

2012:

Up >200%: NEW.. coming on radar, Belize farmout, drill success

Down: no choice

down>200%: every single oiler. i predict a paradigm shift in organic printable PV technology, or something, bringing solar power costs down way below all rivals. take your blinkers off !

Christian12 opened the 2012 account with a massive 126% gain on LGO.
The GKP gang did well, too, with a pretty good 45% gain. Congrat to the
above and all the gainers in the January 2012 >20% Up competition!!!

The >20% Down competition for January 2012 was won by Proselenes, Christian12
and McDougall with EOG going down by 15%. Congrat!!!

Christian12 deserves a special mention for it is unusual for someone to win
both the Up and Down competitions in the same month!!!


>20% Up Competition Results for January 2012:

13.3% Average

126.3% LGO Christian12 Fool
45.9% GKP Lowersharpnose Fool
45.9% GKP Lr2 Advfn
45.9% GKP Mikel2 Fool
45.9% GKP Slickreturns Fool
35.3% SRSP Keya5000 Advfn
33.3% RXP Dia43 Advfn
31.7% IAE Mcdougall Fool
29.1% SQZ Fleecednflogged Fool
28.6% CAD Stevieblunder Fool
28.0% RRL GhaoN Advfn
28.0% RRL Glasgowegianprof Fool
28.0% RRL Redsloe Fool
21.6% AEX Alano20 Stockopedia
21.6% AEX DearLeader Stockopedia
21.6% AEX Djpreston Fool
21.6% AEX El1te Advfn
21.6% AEX Fangorn Stockopedia
21.6% AEX Flyingbull Fool
21.6% AEX Haoma Fool
21.6% AEX Hywel Fool
21.6% AEX Johnnylite Fool
21.6% AEX Norman115 Stockopedia
21.6% AEX Petergray Fool
21.6% AEX Proselenes Fool
21.6% AEX Saggy101 Fool
17.2% COV Chriswalden Fool
17.2% COV Robs5 Fool
13.6% DGO ewm55 Fool
10.0% CEO Sander4709 Stockopedia
10.0% CEO Strollingmolby Fool
10.0% CEO Thegreatgeraldo Fool
10.0% CEO Wistman Fool
7.9% FPM Corporalcromarty Fool
7.9% FPM Cranbrook2 Fool
7.9% FPM Wshak Fool
7.4% AST Eastheath Fool
6.9% GBP Ohisay Fool
6.7% BOR Rbcrbc Fool
4.9% TOM Skiboy10 Advfn
3.5% BG. Emptyend Stockopedia
0.0% SAC Fo77y Advfn
-1.5% AUL GHH Fool
-1.5% AUL Richardgr Fool
-2.4% PCI Closetinvestor Advfn
-2.4% PCI Closetspeculator Fool
-2.4% PCI Johnhop Fool
-2.4% PCI Jpgh Fool
-2.4% PCI Sawney Fool
-2.6% HOIL Davjo Stockopedia
-2.6% HOIL Dragonfan Fool
-2.6% HOIL Fatprophet Fool
-2.6% HOIL Ingermarie Fool
-2.6% HOIL Ironpyrites Fool
-2.6% HOIL The Ballock Advfn
-3.0% XTR Deepcalm Advfn
-8.3% FTO Peterbill Fool
-9.1% PTR Divinausa1 Advfn
-9.1% PTR Westmoreland lad Advfn
-9.3% LOGP Luminoso Fool
-9.3% LOGP Mohill48 Fool
-9.3% LOGP Scruttocks Fool
-15.2% EOG Goders Fool
-19.4% MMR (US) Xxnir Fool

>20% Down Competition Results for January 2012:

11.3% Average

-15.2% EOG Proselenes Fool
-15.2% EOG Christian12 Fool
-15.2% EOG Mcdougall Fool
-9.3% LOGP Mohill48 Fool
-6.9% SEY Corporalcromarty Fool
-6.1% CAZA Fo77y Advfn
-5.8% PMG Djpreston Fool
-5.8% PMG Robs5 Fool
-5.8% PMG Saggy101 Fool
-5.8% PMG Wshak Fool
-5.8% PMG Fleecednflogged Fool
-5.8% PMG GHH Fool
-5.8% PMG Chriswalden Fool
-5.8% PMG Petergray Fool
-5.8% PMG Wistman Fool
-5.8% PMG Slickreturns Fool
-5.8% PMG Sander4709 Stockopedia
-5.8% PMG Lr2 Advfn
-3.0% XTR Flyingbull Fool
-2.6% HOIL Norman115 Stockopedia
-2.4% PCI DearLeader Stockopedia
-2.4% PCI Alano20 Stockopedia
-1.4% LHD Strollingmolby Fool
-0.3% SIA Jpgh Fool
2.8% MRS Emptyend Stockopedia
6.7% XEL Ironpyrites Fool
8.4% CHAR Keya5000 Advfn
8.8% NEW Luminoso Fool
13.6% DGO Peterbill Fool
14.0% NTOG Lowersharpnose Fool
17.1% BLVN Fangorn Stockopedia
21.6% AEX Scruttocks Fool
21.6% AEX Ohisay Fool
21.6% AEX Rbcrbc Fool
21.6% AEX Davjo Stockopedia
21.6% AEX El1te Advfn
21.6% AEX Closetinvestor Advfn
25.9% RKH Haoma Fool
28.6% COP ewm55 Fool
45.9% GKP Eastheath Fool
45.9% GKP Hywel Fool
45.9% GKP Redsloe Fool
126.3% LGO Goders Fool
126.3% LGO GhaoN Advfn

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Even with a weak share price over the last couple of months in 2012, MAGP still managed a very impressive gain of 472% over the course of 2012!!! Judging by the number of onshore wells they have been drilling in the US, I wouldn't be surprised if their motto is "Drill, baby, drill....."!!! Congratulations to Scruttocks for winning the 2012 Outrageous >200% Oil Stock Competition!!!

As for the Outrageous >50% Down Oil Stock Competition, poor XTR got badly burnt with a couple of non commercial wells, one of them being as dry as a bone; total loss of value was a massive 93% down in its share price in 2012. Congratulations to Saggy101 for predicting the eye catching drop and winning this competition!!!

The two set of competition results are as follows:

">200% Up" Competition Results:

1.7% Average

472.6% MAGP Scruttocks Fool
153.8% PET skiboy10 Advfn
98.6% MTA Oilbuy Advfn
92.0% COV Chriswalden Fool
87.7% LGO Closetspeculator Fool
87.7% LGO Christian12 Fool
74.7% OPHR Wshak Fool
74.7% OPHR Haoma Fool
74.7% OPHR Xxnjr Fool
73.0% WZR.V Wistman Fool
69.6% MOG Ohisay Fool
51.7% CAZA GhaoN Advfn
33.8% PELE Peterbill Fool
33.1% SQZ Johnnylite Fool
33.1% SQZ Hywel Fool
29.3% CEO Strollingmolby Fool
29.3% CEO Thegreatgeraldo Fool
29.3% CEO Slickreturns Fool
29.3% CEO Sander4709 Stockopedia
25.5% DEO GHH Fool
25.5% DEO Corporalcromarty Fool
14.3% SEA Ladyjennifer Advfn
12.5% PCL.ASX Norman115 Stockopedia
7.3% NEW Luminoso Fool
7.3% NEW MrNachos Stockopedia
4.7% SLE Djpreston Fool
0.5% AEX ewm55 Fool
0.5% AEX El1te Advfn
-2.5% MOIL Flyingbull Fool
-2.6% BLVN The Ballock Advfn
-3.5% SEY Goders Fool
-6.8% GKP Johnhop Fool
-6.8% GKP Jpgh Fool
-6.8% GKP Richardgr Fool
-6.8% GKP Dragonfan Fool
-6.8% GKP Lowersharpnose Fool
-6.8% GKP Fangorn Stockopedia
-6.8% GKP Dearleader Stockopedia
-6.8% GKP Keya5000 Advfn
-6.8% GKP Closetinvestor Advfn
-8.3% VPP Fleecednflogged Fool
-13.1% WSX Marvo38 Fool
-15.7% PCI Eastheath Fool
-15.7% PCI Ingermarie Fool
-15.7% PCI Lr2 Advfn
-17.0% TRP Sawney Fool
-17.0% TRP Ironpyrites Fool
-17.0% TRP Alano20 Stockopedia
-31.6% GBP Petergray Fool
-31.6% GBP Emptyend Stockopedia
-38.8% AUL Mcdougall Fool
-42.2% CAD Stevieblunder Fool
-45.9% SAC Jotoha2 Advfn
-46.9% FOGL Proselenes Fool
-46.9% FOGL Rbcrbc Fool
-46.9% FOGL Imperial3 Advfn
-49.7% SOU Cranbrook2 Fool
-57.3% RRL Robs5 Fool
-57.3% RRL Redsloe Fool
-57.3% RRL Westmorelandlad Advfn
-57.3% RRL Fo77y Advfn
-57.4% RIA.ASX Davjo Stockopedia
-64.2% MXP Mikel2 Fool
-64.2% MXP Fatprophet Fool
-66.1% FRR Michaelsadvfn Advfn
-71.4% PTR Dia43 Advfn
-71.4% PTR Divinausal Advfn
-71.5% AST Kilich Fool
-71.5% AST Glasgowegianprof Fool
-78.9% NKO.TO Mohill48 Fool
-93.9% XTR Saggy101 Fool
-93.9% XTR Deepcalm Advfn

">50% Down" Competition Results:

-12.2% Average

-93.9% XTR Saggy101 Fool
-74.3% CHAR GhaoN Advfn
-68.9% BOR Emptyend Stockopedia
-66.1% FRR Strollingmolby Fool
-66.1% FRR Slickreturns Fool
-66.1% FRR Lr2 Advfn
-42.8% RKH Fangorn Stockopedia
-42.8% RKH Dearleader Stockopedia
-42.8% RKH Alano20 Stockopedia
-38.4% VOG Goders Fool
-27.4% TOM Haoma Fool
-26.2% SOLO Luminoso Fool
-26.2% SOLO ewm55 Fool
-21.1% COP Ladyjennifer Advfn
-12.8% DES The Ballock Advfn
-7.5% PMG Robs5 Fool
-7.5% PMG Wshak Fool
-7.5% PMG Christian12 Fool
-7.5% PMG Fleecednflogged Fool
-7.5% PMG GHH Fool
-7.5% PMG Hywel Fool
-7.5% PMG Ohisay Fool
-7.5% PMG Mcdougall Fool
-7.5% PMG Marvo38 Fool
-7.5% PMG Ironpyrites Fool
-7.5% PMG Chriswalden Fool
-7.5% PMG Petergray Fool
-7.0% EOG Richardgr Fool
-6.8% GKP Djpreston Fool
-6.8% GKP Eastheath Fool
-6.8% GKP Fo77y Advfn
0.5% AEX Jpgh Fool
0.5% AEX Scruttocks Fool
0.5% AEX El1te Advfn
0.5% AEX Closetinvestor Advfn
2.2% XEL Flyingbull Fool
2.2% XEL Rbcrbc Fool
2.2% XEL Wistman Fool
2.2% XEL Davjo Stockopedia
2.2% XEL Keya5000 Advfn
20.5% NTOG Lowersharpnose Fool
29.3% CEO Peterbill Fool
87.7% LGO Proselenes Fool
144.4% PET Corporalcromarty Fool

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