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Synergy Health Q3 trading statement. Where to from here?

Thursday, Feb 14 2013 by
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Synergy Health (LON:SYR) (1037p and 3.7% of JIC Portfolio) has issued its Q3 trading statement this morning covering the period since 30th September 2012. In all honesty it is a bit of a mixed bag. Underlying revenue was up 17.4% to £273m driven principally by its two sterilisation businesses, AST and HST where underlying growth was 18% and 11.4% respectively. Poor performances came from the Dutch linen business where severe price competition is leading to lower margins. Management is taking action to "extract Synergy from the price war with a change of strategy". It is removing excess capacity and also withdrawing further price discounts; it is to be hoped that this works.

The Americas is Synergy's highest growth region with AST growing turnover by 19.1%. Americas is becoming increasingly important, representing c.20% of total group turnover following the acquisition of Surgical Express (SRI) last July. Management are upbeat on SRI, anticipating margins approaching 10% by the year end and also optimistic of converting its current "bid book" into new business. Bids valued at $25m per annum are being decided in the coming months.

Conclusion: the market's reaction to today's results has so far been a little disappointing, (off 4.6% as I write) but perhaps understandable. Management are upbeat about prospects but are having to work hard to maintain margins "over the next two quarters, where revenues will fall short of our original plan". Management expect earnings to be within the range of market forecasts; so no upgrades and I suspect that some forecasts at the higher end will slip back. Clearly there is not much room for manoeuvre. The share price is now off some 8% from its January highs and at 1037p is valued at 16x April 2013 forecast earnings for 28% growth and 14.3x April 2014 earnings for 12% growth. As I said last week, that does not seem to me to be overly expensive. If all this sounds as if I am prevaricating a bit it is because I am! Not easy this one; would I buy it if I did not already own it? Probably not. I will watch over the next few days.


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On 1st January 2012 I set up the JIC portfolio with £151,110 cash.Under "Transactions" you can see how it has been invested, "Portfolio" shows the current portfolio and my approach to investing is described under "About Me". A history of all my postings can be found under "Company Blogs". I… ...read more or visit website »


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Synergy Health plc delivers a range of specialist outsourced services to healthcare providers and other customers concerned with health management. The Company operates in four operating segments: the UK and Ireland, Europe and Middle East, Asia and Africa and Americas. The segments derive their revenues from a range of products and services, being the provision of Healthcare Services, Applied Sterilisation Services and Hospital Sterilisation Services. Its healthcare solutions covers a range of services which include infection control. It provides a range of sterilisation technologies, including gamma irradiation; electron and ion beam. Its Hospital Sterilisation Services include instrument sterilisation service. In March 2012, it acquired Leoni Studer Hard AG from Leoni Group. On March 21, 2012, it acquired MSI Surgical Solutions LLC. In July 2012, it acquired SRI/Surgical Express, Inc. more »

Share Price (SETS)
1096p
Change
-9.0  -0.8%
P/E (fwd)
15.5
Yield (fwd)
2.0
Mkt Cap (£m)
644.4



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About johnrosier

Johnrosier

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In September 1984, I left university with a degree in Zoology and started work in the City of London. Over the next twenty five years most of my time was spent managing UK equity portfolios with Fleming Investment Management and Henderson Global Investors, for company and local authority pension schemes as well as the reserve fund for a well known charity. During 2009 I left full time employment and decided to take time out to consider the next stage of my career. In the meantime I have been putting my years of experience to good use investing the family savings. I have thoroughly enjoyed the freedom of investing from home and despite some tricky periods during 2011 it has been a rewarding experience. In January 2012 I set up www.johnsinvestmentchronicle.com in which I record my trades and the reasoning behind them. more »



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