Occupation: Other
Interests: Emerging Markets, Geopolitics, Oil
I use a mixture of dart throwing and technical analysis to identify undervalued stocks, and mesmerism to increase their prices. I had unmatched success with this combination, from march to september 2009.
Here are some graphs: they show a bunch of companies placed according to the automatically generated Earnings-Power (vertical-axis) and Graham valuations (horizontal) from this site. EPV is supposed to consider the firm as it stands today, Graham as the firm it will grow into. AIUI. Overvalued is top left, Undervalued bottom right. No particular rationale for the choices of firms: some are people's picks for…
Volex (LON:VLX) are an electrical cables manufacturer. At the start of the year they were pleased to be a supplier to Apple: '..Significant progress in developing our relationship with our biggest customer, resulting in increased allocations. ..we have made further substantial and largely unbudgeted investments in both capital and operating expenditure in Q1 FY2013. ..1,000 net new production staff during the quarter, more than a…
I hung on to Goldplat for an age, waiting for the disfunctional Kenyan bureaucracy to approve their first mine. If they had stuck to only their recovery plant operations they'd have been paying fat dividends for some time. Evidently I'm still rankled. Mine #1 is still a deadweight it seems: "It must be noted that the improved results from the gold recovery operations are expected…
Thanks,yes. I am going to watch how the outliers on my plot perform. Shame there aren,t more of them though. And also your point about p/e as an equivalent for dcf method: using that as the dot-colouring method does produce a nice (but not useful) pattern. Hurrying to work..
Oh my god. And I,m typing this reply on a tablet.... First off, there's an image placeholder at the top of my response to my own post. I can't remove it now there have been further comments.. Aside from that, what I'm interested in is the apparent discrepancy between these 2 company valuation methods, (which seem, as I said at the top, to be reasonable,…
I'll have a second bite at this subject, with improved graphics. A second chance for Stockopedia readers to reply, anyway. The point of this graph is to detect overpriced-poor and underpriced-quality firms. Firms are displayed here as dots whose size, redness and opacity are controlled by 3 financial measures, and in this first snapshot big, red and opaque is bad. So, I'm looking for bad…
'Mark @marben100 Been trimming $RCP.L - discount to my estimate of NAV now small, so being cautious. 'Last week it was a major core holding! The price is only up about 10p, and no RNSs!! you're wielding big sums for small shavings. you're doing highly geared bets under the guise of being a sober investor. you're too much in love with your spreadsheet software and…
