James Montier (former Soc Gen global equity strategist) aimed to create a simple scoring system that would highlight companies that may be 'cooking the books'. The C-Score was the result. It measures six inputs including the divergence between net income and cash-flow, increasing days sales outstanding, increasing days sales of inventory, increasing current assets to revenues, declining depreciation relative to PPE and high total asset growth. Montier found that companies with high C-Scores under performed the market by 8% per annum, generating a mere 1.8% return between 1993 and 2007. He recommended using it in tandem with a high valuation measure. A C Score = 5 used in tandem with a Price/Sales Ratio > 2 generated a negative absolute return of 4% p.a. in the US. For a full review of the C Score please click here. To learn more about this strategy please click here »
Former head of Global Strategy at Société Générale, now works for GMO. Author of 'Behavioural Investing' & 'Value Investing: Tools and Techniques for Intelligent Investment'.
Value Investing Montier
by James Montier
The seductive elegance of classical finance theory is powerful, yet value investing requires that we reject both the precepts of modern portfolio theory (MPT) and pretty much all of its tools and techniques. This book explains how value investing is the only tried and tested method of delivering sustainable long-term returns.
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| Timeframe | Screen Returns | FTSE 100 | Outperformance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -0.35% | -0.41% | 0.1% |
| 1 month | -1.17% | -4.69% | 3.5% |
| 3 months | -2.75% | -1.74% | -1.0% |
| 6 months | 3.33% | 7.81% | -4.5% |
| 1 year | -7.71% | 16.34% | -24.1% |
| Since inception | -13.11% | 18.8% | -31.9% |
| Annualised | -8.88% |
| Maximum Drawdown | -26.20% |
| Average No. of Holdings | 24.8 |
| Diversification Level | Good |
Chart based on an equal weighted portfolio of max 25 stocks rebalanced quarterly. Qualifying shares below updated daily. Past performance not indicative of future returns.
Please note that 'short selling' strategies are designed to underperform the market - they are best used for hedging long portfolios rather than for absolute negative returns.
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