J Sainsbury (SBRY)
market vs.
industry GROWTH & VALUE
| 12m Forecast Rolling | ||||
| PE Ratio (f) | 12.1 |
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| PEG Ratio (f) | 2.88 |
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| EPS Growth (f) | 4.37 | % |
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| Dividend Yield (f) | 4.58 | % |
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| Valuation (ttm) | ||||
| Price to Book Value | 1.29 |
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| Price to Tang. Book | 1.33 |
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| Price to Free Cashflow | n/a |
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| Price to Sales | 0.32 |
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| EV to EBITDA | 6.66 |
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market vs.
industry QUALITY
| Return on Capital | 9.57 | % |
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| Return on Equity | 11.1 | % |
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| Operating Margin | 3.95 | % |
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| Year End 17th Mar | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | TTM | 2013E | 2014E | CAGR / Avg | |
| Revenue | £m | 17,151 | 17,837 | 18,911 | 19,964 | 21,102 | 22,294 | 22,761 | 23,420 | 24,265 | +5.4% |
| Operating Profit | £m | 520 | 530 | 673 | 710 | 851 | 874 | 898 | +10.9% | ||
| Net Profit | £m | 325 | 329 | 289 | 585 | 640 | 598 | 616 | 581.9 | 599.2 | +13.0% |
| EPS Reported | p | 18.9 | 18.6 | 16.4 | 31.6 | 33.8 | 31.5 | 32.4 | +10.8% | ||
| EPS Normalised | p | 18.9 | 18.3 | 14.4 | 29.9 | 29.3 | 28.2 | 28.8 | 30.0 | 31.3 | +8.3% |
| EPS Growth | % | +399.7 | -2.9 | -21.6 | +107.8 | -2.1 | -3.8 | +2.1 | +6.39 | +4.37 | |
| PE Ratio | x | 13.4 | 13.1 | 12.6 | 12.1 | ||||||
| PEG | x | 2.10 | 2.05 | 2.88 | 1.72 | ||||||
| Profitability | |||||||||||
| Operating Margin | % | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.95 | +3.5% | ||
| ROA | % | 3.3 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 4.92 | ||||
| ROCE | % | 7.6 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 9.57 | +8.8% | ||
| ROE | % | 7.1 | 6.2 | 12.5 | 12.3 | 10.8 | 11.1 | +9.8% | |||
| Cashflow | |||||||||||
| Op. Cashflow ps | p | 43.3 | 45.9 | 52.1 | 53.7 | 44.5 | 55.3 | 59.1 | +5.0% | ||
| Capex ps | p | 45.6 | 55.4 | 55.4 | 55.9 | 59.9 | 64.9 | 61.5 | +7.3% | ||
| Free Cashflow ps | p | -2.38 | -9.51 | -3.29 | -2.19 | -15.5 | -9.59 | -2.38 | |||
| Last ex-div: 15th May, paid: 12th Jul more... Dividends | |||||||||||
| Dividend ps | p | 9.75 | 12.0 | 13.2 | 14.2 | 15.1 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 17.3 | +10.6% |
| Dividend Growth | % | +21.9 | +23.1 | +10.00 | +7.58 | +6.34 | +6.62 | +1.86 | +3.56 | +3.54 | |
| Dividend Yield | % | 4.27 | 4.35 | 4.42 | 4.58 | ||||||
| Dividend Cover | x | 1.94 | 1.55 | 1.24 | 2.22 | 2.24 | 1.96 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.81 | |
| Balance Sheet | |||||||||||
| Cash etc | £m | 1,128 | 719 | 627 | 837 | 501 | 739 | 551 | -8.1% | ||
| Working Capital | £m | -806 | -930 | -1,328 | -940 | -1,221 | -1,104 | -1,223 | |||
| Net Fixed Assets | £m | 7,486 | 8,228 | 8,282 | 8,858 | 9,527 | 10,148 | 10,451 | +6.3% | ||
| Net Debt | £m | 1,335 | 1,483 | 1,704 | 1,593 | 1,912 | 2,028 | 2,225 | +8.7% | ||
| Book Value | £m | 4,349 | 4,935 | 4,376 | 4,966 | 5,424 | 5,629 | 5,501 | +5.3% | ||
| Average Shares | m | 1,720 | 1,767 | 1,763 | 1,873 | 1,921 | 1,930 | 1,932 | +2.3% | ||
| Book Value ps | p | 250.8 | 282.5 | 249.6 | 266.9 | 289.9 | 298.9 | 291.3 | +3.6% | ||
FINANCIAL BRIEF: For the 28 weeks ended 29 September 2012, J Sainsbury plc revenues increased 4% to L12.16B. Net income increased 6% to L320M. Revenues reflect Value of Retail Sales-(Including VAT) increase of 4% to L13.37B. Net income benefited from Food Retailing - UK segment income increase of 4% to L412M. Dividend per share remained flat at L0.05. Basic Earnings per Share excluding Extraordinary Items increased from L0.16 to L0.17. more »
| Leverage (ttm) | Total | Ex Intang | |||
| Gross Gearing | % | 50.5 | 52.0 | ||
| Net Gearing | % | 40.4 | 41.7 | ||
| Cash / Assets | % | 4.35 | |||
| Liquidity (ttm) | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.63 | |
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | |
| Interest Cover | 9.37 | |
| Efficiency (ttm) | ||
| Asset Turnover | 1.82 | |
| Rec's Turnover | 64.4 | |
| Stock Turnover | 22.0 | |
market vs.
industry RECENT HISTORY
| Latest interim period (ended 29th Sep '12) vs. prior year | ||||
| Sales Growth | 3.99 | % |
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| EPS Growth | 4.14 | % |
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| 3yr Average Annualised | ||||
| Sales Growth | 5.64 | % |
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| EPS Growth | 25.1 | % |
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| DPS Growth | 6.84 | % |
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| Price Target: 365.9p (-3.01% below Price) | Net Profit | EPS | DPS | Net Profit | EPS | DPS | |
| Est. Long Term Growth Rate: +7.2% | (£) | (p) | (p) | (£) | (p) | (p) | |
| Consensus Estimate | 581.9m | 30.0 | 16.7 | 599.2m | 31.3 | 17.3 | |
| 1m Change | - | - | - | -7.32m | -0.16 | -0.092 | |
| 3m Change | - | - | - | +3.91m | +0.29 | -0.12 |
BROKER CONSENSUS & FORECAST TREND
| Recommendation: | Strong Sell | Sell | Hold | Buy | Strong Buy |
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| No. of Analysts: | 2 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
J Sainsbury plc is engaged in grocery and related retailing. The Company is organized into three segments: Retailing (Supermarkets and Convenience); Financial services (Sainsbury’s Bank joint venture), and Property investments (The British Land Company PLC joint venture and Land Securities PLC joint venture). As of March 17, 2012, the Company operated over 1,000 stores comprising 572 supermarkets and 440 convenience stores. Investment properties held by the Company are those contained within its joint ventures with Land Securities Group PLC and The British Land Company PLC. The Company’s Click & Collect service allows customers to place general merchandise orders online by 2pm for collection the following day from over 900 stores. Its general merchandise Website offers more than 6,000 branded and own brand products. In October 2011, it acquired online entertainment company, Global Media Vault Limited. In June 2012, J Sainsbury PLC acquired HMV Group plc's holding in Anobii Limited.
Directors: Justin King (CEO) 51, John Rogers (CFO) 43, Roger Burnley (Mgng.Dir.) , Mike Coupe (Exec. Dir.) 51, Sarah Warby (Dir.-Mktg.) , Helen Buck (Other) , Gwyn Burr (Other) 50, Rob Fraser (Other) , Luke Jensen (Other) , Neil Sachdev (Other) ,
No. of Employees: 48,800 No. of Shareholders: n/a
| Last Annual | March 17th, 2012 |
| Last Interim | September 29th, 2012 |
| Shares in Issue | 1,888,282,096 |
| Free Float | 1.66bn (87.7%) |
| Sector | Consumer Defensives |
| Industry | Food & Drug Retailing |
| Index | FTSE Eurofirst 100 , FTSEUROFIRST 300 , E300 ex EURO COR, FTSE Higher Yield , FTSE 350 Act , FT350 Fd&drg Ret , FTSE 100 , FTSE 100 Eod Gbp , |
| Exchange |
London Stock Exchange (Full) |
| Eligible for | an ISA? a SIPP? |
| Address | 33 Holborn, LONDON, EC1N 2HT, United Kingdom |
| Web | http://www.j-sainsbury.co.uk/ |
| Phone | +44 20 76956000 |
| Contact | Adam Katsibas (Head - Investor Relations) |
| Registrar | Computershare Investor Services PLC (Bristol) |
| Auditors | PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP |
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Volume 4,701,621 |
Bid - Ask 376.5 - 376.6 |
Day's Range 374.1 - 387.9 |
Spread 3bps |
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Avg Vol (3m) 5,009,520 |
Open - Close 377.6 - 377.2 |
12m Range 258.0 - 398.6 |
Beta 0.61 |
| Fri 4:01pm | Director/PDMR Shareholding |
| Fri 4:00pm | Director/PDMR Shareholding |
| 10th May | Director/PDMR Shareholding |
| 8th May | Final Results |
| 8th May | Directorate Change |
| 8th May | Acquisition |
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